With great power comes great responsibility: A report from the frontier of armed conflict forecasting

Posted on Posted in Analysis, Civil Wars, Global, International Politics, Lovisa Mickelsson, Pax et Bellum Views, Remco Jansen

Authors: Remco Bastiaan Jansen and Lovisa Mickelsson*   Forecasting violent political crises such as the devastating resource wars of the 1990s or the ongoing conflict in Syria is a dream to researchers and policy-makers. What if we could indeed anticipate these crises; could we save people from the horrors of war? Can data help bring […]

How to Define Violence in Aleppo?

Posted on Posted in Analysis, Civil Wars, Middle East and North Africa, Pax et Bellum Views, Violence against Civilians

Authors: Jacob Agee, Jason Giannakis and Timo Leimeister The Mass Violence Awareness Initiative (MVAI) is a non-Governmental Organization which is based in Uppsala, Sweden. It seeks to increase public awareness about incidents of past, current and possible upcoming mass violence, genocide and related phenomena around the world.   There is understandably much use of the term […]

Sexual violence – South Sudan’s neglected survivors and crimes

Posted on Posted in Alexandra Hallqvist, Analysis, Pax et Bellum Views, Sub-Saharan Africa, Violence against Civilians, Zoe Meijer

Originally published January 16, 2017 Authors: Alexandra Hallqvist and Zoë Meijer* Historically, sexual violence has been a part of war. However, while it used to be seen as “just” a byproduct of war, we have finally come to the realization that sexual violence is often used as a strategic tool during conflict. Especially after the rape […]

From regime change to authoritarian stability? The Trump presidency and the Syrian Civil War

Posted on Posted in Americas, Analysis, Aron Woonink, Civil Wars, International Politics, Middle East and North Africa, Opinions, Pax et Bellum Views

Originally published December 17, 2016 Author: Aron Woonink* Many jars of ink have been spilt on Donald Trump’s election last month. Every spectator, whether they’re journalists, policymakers or ordinary citizens, wonders what this remarkable figure’s victory will mean for the US and the rest of the world. Will Muslims be banned from entering the US? […]

Brexit, Trump and right-wing movements in Europe – Explaining identity politics

Posted on Posted in Analysis, Europe, International Politics, Pax et Bellum Views, Shawn Davies, Suna Voss

Originally published December 11, 2016 Authors:  Suna J. Voss and Shawn Davies* Identity politics is in the news. While identity might be a construct, as the constructivist argument goes, attempts to transcend one identity generally lead into the construction of another. What does this mean for politics and society? The ethnicities of Gujarati and Marathi […]

Why the Assad regime barrel-bombs its own civilians

Posted on Posted in Analysis, Civil Wars, Middle East and North Africa, Pax et Bellum Views, Rik Rutten, Violence against Civilians

Originally published December 5, 2016 Author: Rik Rutten* Bombing civilians without distinguishing supporters and opponents from bystanders is said to be ineffective, or even counterproductive. Then why have air raids become such a hallmark feature of the military strategy of the Assad government in the Syrian civil war? A look at the geography of violence shows: […]

Non Violent Communication in Mediation of Conflicts

Posted on Posted in Americas, Analysis, Lani Anaya Jiménez, Non Violent Conflicts, Pax et Bellum Views, Peace Building

Originally published November 27, 2016 Author:  Lani M. Anaya Jiménez* For  a long time conflict resolution processes tended to be observed and mediated on a state basis where high level actors where the most important ones (Lederach, 1997). However, conflicts based on non-state actors have increased considerably during last ten years (UCDP, 2016). As a […]

What causes rebel recruitment? Into the mind of a former jihadist

Posted on Posted in Analysis, Barbara Magalhães Teixeira, Civil Wars, Middle East and North Africa, Pax et Bellum Views, Rebel Recruitment

Originally published November 21, 2016 Author:  Barbara Magalhães Teixeira* The TED Talk of Manwar Ali, filmed in April 2016, touches upon a central subject in Peace and Conflict Research: rebel recruitment. He is a former jihadist that shares his experience of joining a rebel group and risking his life for a cause. Through his testimony, […]